By Kunle Somorin
History, as the venerable English historian Thomas Carlyle as soon as postulated, is finally formed by the interaction of persistent preparation and the sudden, unyielding turns of destiny.
In the fastidious area of Nigerian democratic contestation, the place political careers are routinely made or unmade at the stroke of an administrative pen, the electoral panorama of Ogun State has simply witnessed a seismic reconfiguration.
The launch of the Independent National Electoral Commission’s remaining candidates checklist for the upcoming February 6 ballot didn’t merely refine the contest; it essentially altered the gravitational legal guidelines of the Gateway State.
With the dramatic administrative disqualification of the Peoples Democratic Party flagbearer, Hon. Oladipupo Adebutu – whose marketing campaign foundered upon the unyielding rocks of statutory compliance – the long-anticipated battle for Oke Mosan has dissolved into what seems unmistakably like a transparent hall for Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola, universally generally known as Yayi.
To observe the swift collapse of the opposition’s vanguard is to witness a traditional lesson in political vainness. For over twenty years, the Adebutu political machine operated underneath the snug delusion that inherited wealth and periodic electoral vainness tasks may substitute for systemic celebration constructing and rigorous legislative stewardship.
His limitless quest for the governorship had lengthy assumed the tragicomic high quality of Sisyphus rolling his boulder up the rocky heights of Olumo Rock, solely to look at it inevitably slip from his grasp. Adebutu’s protracted battle was outlined much less by ideological conviction than by an entrenched sense of elite entitlement – a perception that the governorship was a household birthright ready to be claimed.
Yet, as the proverb correctly admonish: one doesn’t gauge the readiness of meat merely by its outer look. While Adebutu spent years navigating inside celebration squabbles, procedural blunders, and limitless litigation, he didn’t erect a resilient, legally watertight institutional equipment able to surviving the primary rigours of electoral regulation.
His final undoing by the superb print of the Electoral Act shouldn’t be an act of political sabotage; it’s the pure end result of an extended, chaotic marketing campaign constructed upon shifting sand.
In stark, deliberate distinction stands Senator Olamilekan Adeola, whose trajectory reads like a masterclass in pragmatic political funding and calculated enlargement.
Long earlier than the INEC pointers excised his chief antagonist from the poll, Yayi had already redefined the parameters of illustration throughout Ogun State.
Critics and political opponents as soon as sought to tether him to a catalog of whispers, weaponising regional parochialism and dredges of previous legislative disputes to query his lineage and motives. Yet, in politics as in life, efficiency is the final antidote to prejudice.
Rather than participating in the poisonous mudslinging that so typically characterises sub-national politics, Yayi adopted the philosophy of Niccolò Machiavelli, who noticed that true authority is preserved via tangible advantage and visual beneficence. His systematically executed technique was disarmingly easy: weaponise growth.
Across the size and breadth of Ogun State – from the industrial hubs of Ado-Odo/Ota to the agricultural stretches of Yewa, via the historic precincts of Abeokuta and right down to the coastal fringes of Ijebu – Yayi unleashed an infrastructural and human capital intervention of unprecedented proportions.
Transformers have been planted in long-neglected rural corridors, main well being centres have been rehabilitated, tertiary scholarships have been distributed by the 1000’s, and big highway interventions have been facilitated via legislative appropriations. He handled non-constituents with the identical administrative urgency as his speedy constituency in Ogun West, successfully constructing a cross-zonal motion that transcended conventional senatorial fault strains. By the time the political institution started to take inventory of his ambitions, Yayi had entrenched himself in the day by day livelihoods of the widespread people.
Consequently, the lingering inquisitions relating to his previous and the drained campaigns of calumny merely evaporated underneath the warmth of his sheer productiveness. The voter on the avenue of Sagamu or Ilaro is never persuaded by summary political philosophy; they care deeply about illuminated streets, useful clinics, and financial empowerment.
Yayi offered all three in abundance. As the outdated Latin maxim goes, Res ipsa loquitur – the factor speaks for itself.
As the political equipment prepares for the February 6 election, the highway to the government home at Oke Mosan seems remarkably unobstructed. The opposition entrance lies in a state of irreversible fragmentation, lowered to autopsy authorized gambits that arrive far too late to sway an voters that has already moved on.
The conventional fault strains that after break up Ogun politics alongside inflexible regional strains have been softened by Yayi’s broad-based, inclusive coalition, which seamlessly unites the political pursuits of the East, Central, and West.
Senator Solomon Olamilekan Adeola shouldn’t be merely driving a wave of political success following an opponent’s administrative error. He is harvesting the yield of years of deliberate, calculated, and beneficiant political funding. When the voters end up on February 6, they won’t be taking part in a tense, nail-biting thriller. Instead, they are going to be ratifying a course of whose conclusion was written months in the past in the concrete, asphalt, and human lives remodeled by a politician who understood that the shortest path to energy is paved with real service to the folks.
Yes, Oke Mosan awaits its grasp builder.
*Somorin is a veteran journalist
